Month: January 2021

Day 271 of Year 6 Low-SOS Vegan Plan (DAY 291 COVID-19 LOCKDOWN)

EXERCISE:
* Jog outdoors 5k w/ face exercise
* Lift shoulders
* Plank
* Vibrating platform
* Coconut skin spa treatment

WATER: (3) × (25) = 75 oz

EATS:
* cup of oats, raisin brand, blueberries & almond milk
* leftover Moroccan Stew served over brown rice & add sauerkraut
* sourdough roll w/ avocado
* pure sparkling water + shots of soft XL-drink
* dairyfree yogurt w/ rolled oats
* few raw almonds & XL-chips

… SUN HAS SET …

* hibiscus lemon tea & banana

Cmmt: XL indicates uncommon extravagantly luscious food

[Calif still on four-tier, color-coded covid system, in addition to new curfew for purple counties: all non-essential work, movement and gatherings are prohibited between 10pm – 5am. In an attempt to free up ICU beds restaurants’ outdoor dining is closing down, non-essential businesses closing, essential businesses reducing occupancy indoors. Hospitals getting crowded as we enter winter months. Long lines outside markets, even for drive-thru pick ups.]

Defining CFR (Case Fatality Rate) to Calculate SURVIVAL RATE (updated Jan 2, 2021)

Before we begin please remember that those who have the virus, but have never been tested (likely b/c they are asymptomatic) are not included in these calculations. If they were the USA survival rate would be higher than calculated here.

In order to better understand CFR we consider definition in this link from Britannica.

Case fatality rate, also called case fatality risk or case fatality ratio, in epidemiology, the proportion of people who die from a specified disease among all individuals diagnosed with the disease over a certain period of time.

We take current stats from WORLDOMETER and apply the definition for a rough estimate:

Case Fatality Rate for USA

Actual Cases with an outcome as of Jan 2, 2021 = estimated actual recovered (12,179,238) + estimated actual deaths (356,450) = 12,535,688

Case Fatality Rate (CFR) = Deaths / Cases = 356,450 / 12,535,688 = 0.0284348175 = 2.8%

Our crude estimate shows that approximately 97.2% of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 recover (100% – 2.8% = 97.2%). Keep in mind covid deaths are very likely overstated, and covid cases are very likely underreported.

This calculation includes all cases, of all ages, with & without comorbidities.

Had we used the number of USA cases at WORLDOMETER, 20,619,032 as of Jan 2, 2021, our survival rate would look much higher: 356,450 / 20,619,032 = 0.0172874265 = 1.7%, yielding a survival rate of 98.3%. But the 97.2% survival rate calculated above is a much more conservative figure.

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Now lets compare our national Dec 6, 2020 Survival Rate with our current Jan 2, 2021 Survival Rate:

Dec 6, 2020 Survival Rate = 96.9%

Jan 2, 2021 Survival Rate = 97.2%

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Let’s consider California, Jan 2, 2021, as it is now surging:

971,395 + 26,294 = 997,689

26,294 ÷ 997,689 = 0.0263549062 = 2.6%

100 – 2.6 = 97.4%

Thus Jan 2, 2021 Calif Survival Rate = 97.4%

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Let’s consider Texas, Jan 2, 2021:

1,453,639 + 28,506 = 1,482,145

28,506 ÷ 1,482,145 = 0.019232936 = 1.9%

100 – 1.9% = 98.1%

Thus Jan 2, 2021 Texas Survival Rate = 98.1%

Day 270 of Year 6 Low-SOS Vegan Plan (DAY 290 COVID-19 LOCKDOWN)

EXERCISE:
* Jog outdoors 5k w/ face exercise

WATER: (3) × (25) = 75 oz

EATS:
* steamed asparagus
* Moroccan Stew served over brown rice
* sourdough roll w/ avocado & garlic
* pure sparkling water + shots of soft XL-drink
* bbq XL-chips w/ raw almonds

… SUN HAS SET …

* lemon hibiscus tea w/ coconut-rolled dates

Cmmt: XL indicates uncommon extravagantly luscious food

[Calif still on four-tier, color-coded covid system, in addition to new curfew for purple counties: all non-essential work, movement and gatherings are prohibited between 10pm – 5am. In an attempt to free up ICU beds restaurants’ outdoor dining is closing down, non-essential businesses closing, essential businesses reducing occupancy indoors. Hospitals getting crowded as we enter winter months. Long lines outside markets, even for drive-thru pick ups.]

Day 269 of Year 6 Low-SOS Vegan Plan (DAY 289 COVID-19 LOCKDOWN)

EXERCISE:
* Jog outdoors 5k w/ face exercise

WATER: (3) × (25) = 75 oz

EATS:
* gorilla salad
* sourdough roll w/ avocado & garlic
* grilled (pre-boiled & marinated) brussel sprouts & turnips
* marinated soycurls grilled w/ onion, red peppers & green peppers
* (marinade ingredients shown in pic)
* dairy free vanilla bean ice cream w/ pure sparkling water + shots of soft XL-drink

… SUN HAS SET …

* pbj sandwich w/ popcorn

Cmmt: XL indicates uncommon extravagantly luscious food

[Calif still on four-tier, color-coded covid system, in addition to new curfew for purple counties: all non-essential work, movement and gatherings are prohibited between 10pm – 5am. In an attempt to free up ICU beds restaurants’ outdoor dining is closing down, non-essential businesses closing, essential businesses reducing occupancy indoors. Hospitals getting crowded as we enter winter months. Long lines outside markets, even for drive-thru pick ups.]