What can some simple Bayesian analysis tell us about vaccine safety?

Aug 4, 2023

Steve Kirsch posed the following problem:

He has a dataset of 7500 people of whom 5625 were vaxxed; 1875 were unvaxxed

Over a period of 6 months (182 days) 15 people died, ALL from the vaxxed group

Of the 15 who died, 4 died within 24 hours of getting the vaccine.

Steve asked what’s the probability of this happening if the vaxx was safe?

Here’s how I answered it using Bayes Theorem to combine the different pieces of evidence. (Note: this assumes the data is accurate, ignores all confounders like age, and assumes the vaxxed and unvaxxed are similar types of people)

Software used for the Bayesian network analysis is https://www.agena.ai/

Risky! Walking downstairs is more dangerous for young women than others for key reasons, said study

Aug 4, 2023

[Editor: Not only young women, I can attest to that!] 🙂

After analyzing 2,400 young adults, either on the short staircase (52% of whom were women) or the long staircase (29% of whom were women), the researchers discovered eight risky behaviors that the young people practiced: 

  1. not using a handrail
  2. not watching the stairs while descending
  3. wearing sandals, flip-flops or high heels
  4. having a conversation with another person or on a smartphone
  5. using an electronic device
  6. keeping hands in pockets
  7. holding something
  8. skipping steps

Four men lost their balance on the long staircase, while one woman did so on the short staircase, but all recovered.

https://www.foxnews.com/lifestyle/risky-walking-downstairs-more-dangerous-young-women-others-key-reasons-study

Arbitrator rules in favor of Massachusetts State Police troopers fired for refusing COVID-19 vaccine

Aug 4, 2023

Former Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker signed an executive order requiring all executive branch employees to provide proof of vaccination by October 2021 or face disciplinary action, including possible termination.

Eleven Massachusetts State Troopers and one sergeant were fired in April over their refusal to get vaccinated. Their termination came nearly eight months after the vaccine mandate was put into place.

On Friday, an arbitrator ruled in favor of the troopers, resulting in seven of them being given the option to be reinstated.

According to the police union, as part of the award handed down by the arbitrator, the state police must contact all impacted troopers to offer them their previous positions with full back pay retroactive to their initial suspension.

They have also been awarded their full seniority rights and all benefits minus any interim earnings and/or unemployment compensation, according to the union news release.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wcvb.com/amp/article/massachusetts-state-police-covid-19-arbitrator-jobs/44738547?espv=1

Day 114 of Year 9 Low-SOS Vegan Plan

EXERCISE:
* Jog 5k outdoors
* Float on water lounge under awning
* Evening walk outdoors

WATER: (2) × (32) = 64 oz

EATS:
* apple sauce & oatmeal w/ powders (pomegranate, beet,  green stuff, ground flaxseed), walnuts, blueberries & splash of almond milk
* grilled tofu sandwich on cracked wheat sourdough
* homemade broccoli-potato soup
* two XL-almond-coconut-choco clusters
* raw broccoli, carrot, cauliflower w/ dip

SUN HAS SET

Cmmt: XL indicates uncommon extravagantly luscious food

Symptoms of Vitamin B12 Deficiency and Optimal Dosage for Adults

Aug 4, 2023

B12 deficiency is known as “The Great Masquerader.” This is part of a series on B12. Check out the rest: • Healthiest Food Sources of Vitamin B12 (https://nutritionfacts.org/video/the-…) • The Optimal Vitamin B12 Dosage for Kids, Pregnancy, and Seniors (https://nutritionfacts.org/video/the-…) • The Best Type of Vitamin B12: Cyanocobalamin or Methylcobalamin? (http://nutritionfacts.org/video/the-b…) You can find all of these videos in a digital download here (https://drgreger.org/collections/down….

Another consequence of B12 deficiency may be an increase in stroke risk: • Vegetarians and Stroke Risk Factors—Vitamin B12 & Homocysteine? (https://nutritionfacts.org/video/vege…) • How to Test for Functional Vitamin B12 Deficiency (http://nutritionfacts.org/video/how-t…) • Should Vegetarians Take Creatine to Normalize Homocysteine? (http://nutritionfacts.org/video/Shoul…) • The Efficacy and Safety of Creatine for High Homocysteine (http://nutritionfacts.org/video/the-e…) My new recommendations are updated on my Optimum Nutrition Recommendations (https://nutritionfacts.org/2011/09/12…) page. New subscribers to our e-newsletter always receive a free gift. Get yours here: https://nutritionfacts.org/subscribe/. Have a question about this video? Leave it in the comment section at http://nutritionfacts.org/video/frida… and someone on the NutritionFacts.org team will try to answer it.