Defining CFR (Case Fatality Rate) to Calculate SURVIVAL RATE (updated Jan 2, 2021)

Before we begin please remember that those who have the virus, but have never been tested (likely b/c they are asymptomatic) are not included in these calculations. If they were the USA survival rate would be higher than calculated here.

In order to better understand CFR we consider definition in this link from Britannica.

Case fatality rate, also called case fatality risk or case fatality ratio, in epidemiology, the proportion of people who die from a specified disease among all individuals diagnosed with the disease over a certain period of time.

We take current stats from WORLDOMETER and apply the definition for a rough estimate:

Case Fatality Rate for USA

Actual Cases with an outcome as of Jan 2, 2021 = estimated actual recovered (12,179,238) + estimated actual deaths (356,450) = 12,535,688

Case Fatality Rate (CFR) = Deaths / Cases = 356,450 / 12,535,688 = 0.0284348175 = 2.8%

Our crude estimate shows that approximately 97.2% of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 recover (100% – 2.8% = 97.2%). Keep in mind covid deaths are very likely overstated, and covid cases are very likely underreported.

This calculation includes all cases, of all ages, with & without comorbidities.

Had we used the number of USA cases at WORLDOMETER, 20,619,032 as of Jan 2, 2021, our survival rate would look much higher: 356,450 / 20,619,032 = 0.0172874265 = 1.7%, yielding a survival rate of 98.3%. But the 97.2% survival rate calculated above is a much more conservative figure.

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Now lets compare our national Dec 6, 2020 Survival Rate with our current Jan 2, 2021 Survival Rate:

Dec 6, 2020 Survival Rate = 96.9%

Jan 2, 2021 Survival Rate = 97.2%

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Let’s consider California, Jan 2, 2021, as it is now surging:

971,395 + 26,294 = 997,689

26,294 ÷ 997,689 = 0.0263549062 = 2.6%

100 – 2.6 = 97.4%

Thus Jan 2, 2021 Calif Survival Rate = 97.4%

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Let’s consider Texas, Jan 2, 2021:

1,453,639 + 28,506 = 1,482,145

28,506 ÷ 1,482,145 = 0.019232936 = 1.9%

100 – 1.9% = 98.1%

Thus Jan 2, 2021 Texas Survival Rate = 98.1%

Treatment Info

INFORMATION ONLY – NOT GUARANTEED ACCURATE. NOT MEDICAL ADVICE – CONSULT A DOCTOR

Just want you to know about a website I found:

exstnc.com

Lots of info at this exstnc.com When you get there click on menu, upper right side box:

* DIRECTORY (list of medical sources by regions for IVM & HCQ).

* TREATMENT (many items listed here).

* DIET (these are food sources of recommended supplements).

* EVIDENCE (various studies & observations).

* CONTACT

Additional IVM medical source:

push.com (click on REQUEST CARE, click on IVERMECTIN, click on REQUEST ORAL IVERMECTIN, click on your state)

COVEXIT – Covid-19 NEWS & POLICY ANALYSIS

https://covexit.com/webinar-with-professor-paul-marik-the-prevention-outpatient-treatment-of-c19/

Today, there is a crisis in hospitals in the US and many other countries, where C19 is not treated before hospitalization. Yet a key to resolve the crisis is the prevention and early treatment of the disease, at home, or even in nursing homes. Indeed, with prevention and early treatment, the odds of hospitalization are substantially reduced.

Regeneron Announces Encouraging Initial Data from COVID-19 Antibody Cocktail Trial in Hospitalized Patients on Low-flow Oxygen

Just published today.

DECEMBER 29, 2020

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/regeneron-announces-encouraging-initial-data-from-covid-19-antibody-cocktail-trial-in-hospitalized-patients-on-low-flow-oxygen-301199163.html

This is the medication US president took during his brief hospital stay.