The CDC recently published Covid-19 data indicating the USA’s AVERAGE SURVIVAL PERCENTAGE RATES.
Our age specific survival % rates are:
0-19 years old, 99.997 percent;
20-49 years old, 99.98 percent;
50-69 years, 99.5 percent;
70 years old or older, 94.6 percent
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It was difficult to find these figures directly in the CDC publication, this is how it was calculated:
Go to CDC DATA SOURCE
At the link scroll down to the scenario 5 table that I have pasted on the lower portion of this post.
On the table (see below) the age specific CDC’s updated Infection Fatality RATIOS are:
0–19 years old, 0.00003 ;
20-49 years old, 0.0002 ;
50-69 years, 0.005 ;
70 years old or older, 0.054
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CDC’s Infection Fatality PERCENTAGE Rate estimates are found by multiplying fatality ratios by 100 % :
0-19 years old, 0.003 percent ;
20-49 years old, 0.02 percent ;
50-69 years, 0.5 percent ;
70 years old or older, 5.4 percent
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* CDC’s Infection SURVIVAL Percentage Rates are found by subtracting fatality percentage from 100:
0-19 years old, 99.997 percent
20-49 years old, 99.98 percent
50-69 years, 99.5 percent
70 years old or older, 94.6 percent
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CDC DATA SOURCE
Sept 10, 2020
Scenario 5:
- Parameter values for disease severity, viral transmissibility, and pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic disease transmission that represent the best estimate, based on the latest
- surveillance data and scientific knowledge. Parameter values are based on data received by CDC through August 8, 2020.
† These estimates are based on age-specific estimates of infection fatality ratios from Hauser, A., Counotte, M.J., Margossian, C.C., Konstantinoudis, G., Low, N., Althaus, C.L. and Riou, J., 2020. Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 mortality during the early stages of an epidemic: a modeling study in Hubei, China, and six regions in Europe. PLoS medicine, 17(7), p.e1003189. Hauser et al. produced estimates of IFR for 10-year age bands from 0 to 80+ year old for 6 regions in Europe. Estimates exclude infection fatality ratios from Hubei, China, because we assumed infection and case ascertainment from the 6 European regions are more likely to reflect ascertainment in the U.S. To obtain the best estimate values, the point estimates of IFR by age were averaged to broader age groups for each of the 6 European regions using weights based on the age distribution of reported cases from COVID-19 Case Surveillance Public Use Data (https://data.cdc.gov/Case-Surveillance/COVID-19-Case-Surveillance-Public-Use-Data/vbim-akqf). The estimates for persons ≥70 years old presented here do not include persons ≥80 years old as IFR estimates from Hauser et al., assumed that 100% of infections among persons ≥80 years old were reported. The consolidated age estimates were then averaged across the 6 European regions. The lower bound estimate is the lowest, non-zero point estimate across the six regions, while the upper bound is the highest point estimate across the six regions.
